The U.S. budget deficit will narrow less than forecast this year even as it falls to the lowest level since 2007 as a share of the economy, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
The projected shortfall will be $506 billion in the 12 months ending Sept. 30, compared with an April prediction for $492 billion and a $680 billion gap posted last year, the nonpartisan CBO said today in a report. In 2015 it’s projected to shrink for a sixth straight year, to $469 billion, capping the longest stretch of fiscal improvement since 2000, near the end of an era of surpluses.
A declining jobless rate that’s lifting individual and corporate tax revenue will help narrow the gap next year to about a third of the record $1.4 trillion deficit reached in 2009, according to CBO data. The report today shows a fiscal picture that’s improving in the near term before starting to deteriorate, with deficits swelling again starting in 2018.
Bloomberg
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